HedgeForward - Tim Mazanec on Foreign Exchange and Global Markets

Tim Mazanec, CMT, 617-835-0708 hedgeforward@comcast.net

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Intra-day model

Daily model

Prior postings

December

Dec 16 - FOMC

Dec 10 - Jobs

Dec 9 - Trade

Dec 7 - Diverg

Dec 5 - NFP

Dec 3 - Can

Dec 2 - '70s

Dec 1 - COT

November

Nov 26 - Turkey

Nov 25 - Gold

Nov 24 - GDP

Nov 20 - Doji

Nov 18 - Homes

Nov 17 - RPIX

Nov 16 - Retail

Nov 13 - Trade

Nov 12 - Budget

Nov 11 - UK

Nov 10 - Charts

Nov 6 - NFP

Nov 5 - Data

Nov. 4 - Jobs wk

Nov 2 - Aus.

October

Oct 30 - GDP

Oct 29 - Euros

Oct 28 - RBA

Oct 27 - M3

Oct 26 - Stocks

Oct 23 - Sell?

Oct 13 - Baby

Sept 21 - 10k

Sept 2 - Long

July 28 - Buy

 

Divergence

Stock prices are up, yet internal indicators point to a loss of momentum.

1) MACD for example shows a lower-high in the current rebound.  In July when it dipped below 0 the rebound was strong.  This time the rebound post the November dip has been shallow.

2) Volume:  There was a tepid pick-up in volume towards the end of last week, but the trend has been for less participation during this stock market rebound which is a clear divergence.




EURUSD - The line in purple has been a clear trend follower since Euro's inception.  It is getting close to the current price once again meaning that any correction may be larger in EURUSD than many market participants would be expecting.  Potentially the reverse price action than what occurred in Dec. 2008.


A closer look of EURUSD.  At current 1.4460 is the line in the sand, but projecting forward a week or two would make 1.45 the pivot level.
HedgeForward, 2009.

This report is for your information only and does not constitute investment or business advice or an offer to buy or sell securities.

 

Timothy J. Mazanec, CMT  (Tim)
617-835-0708
hedgeforward@comcast.net

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